Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction Subclass_Puzzles Because when those in control

Because when those in control of the truth decide to twist it

Ganong’s concisely covers every important topic without sacrificing depth or readability and delivers more detailed

loads of Wally-watchers and more on every double-page spread

and illustrating his points with examples from successful baseball players to talented portrait artists

Sebuah perasaan halus

Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction Subclass_Puzzles Because when those in controlEverything we do involves forecasts about how the future will unfold. Whether buying a new house or changing job, designing a new product or getting married, our decisions are governed by implicit predictions of how things are likely to turn out. The problem is, we're not very good at it. In a landmark, twenty year study, Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed that the average expert was only slightly better at predicting the future than a layperson